Jordan External Debt
Al Aqabah Port, Jordan's only seaport
As foreign aid and remittances declined in the 1980s, Jordan
started to draw down its foreign reserves. In 1980 Jordan's
international reserves, including gold and hard currency, totaled
US$1.74 billion. By 1983 international reserves had shrunk to
US$1.24 billion--US$824 million in currency, and US$416 million in
gold. By 1986 international reserves had been reduced to US$854
million; currency reserves were down to US$438 million but gold
reserves remained at previous levels. The Central Bank of Jordan
(hereafter Central Bank) held about US$130 million, and the rest
was held by Jordan's private commercial banks. Whereas total
international reserves were sufficient to cover six months' worth
of imports in 1980, by 1986 they equaled only three months' worth
of imports.
In the late 1980s, the government resorted to borrowing to
cushion the economy from the shortfall of outside income. In 1970
external debt stood at US$120 million. By 1980, however, external
debt had risen to about US$1 billion, and in 1986 it stood at
US$4.13 billion. Total debt outstanding, including undisbursed debt
(obligations contracted but not yet received as loans), was US$4.31
billion. Whereas lower figures were reported by various sources,
such figures presumably did not count as debt some soft loans for
development or trade credits that could be construed as debt or
aid.
Earlier loans had been contracted at concessional interest
rates through foreign export credit agencies, other Arab
governments, and multilateral agencies. Debt to such official
creditors rose from US$2.3 billion in 1982 to US$2.8 billion by
1986. Beginning in 1983, however, Jordan started to supplement soft
loans from governments with commercial credit. In 1982 debt to
private creditors stood at US$512 million, but by 1986 that amount
had tripled to US$1.5 billion. Funds raised on the Eurodollar
market (dollars held and loaned by European banks) included four
commercial loans obtained between 1983 and 1987. But 1987
Eurodollar borrowing totaled US$640 million.
In part because it had previously borrowed so little, Jordan
was regarded as a good credit risk. But as the country borrowed
more and as it turned to private sector creditors, terms tended to
stiffen. For example, although the average interest rate that
Jordan paid in 1986 (7.3 percent) was the same as in the early
1980s, the amount of debt subject to variable interest rates had
doubled to 20 percent of total debt; thus, Jordan was more
vulnerable to a possible increase in world interest rates. At the
same time, however, almost 50 percent of all debt remained at
concessional interest rates. In 1986 Jordan paid an estimated
US$610.5 million in debt service, of which nearly US$431.8 million
was for principal and nearly US$178.8 million was for interest.
These short-term interest and principal payments as a percentage of
export earnings--the debt service ratio--rose from less than 8
percent in 1980 to almost 29 percent in 1986.
Data as of December 1989
|