Spain Introduction
Figure 1. Spain, 1988
Since the late 1950s, Spain has been transformed. A
stagnant,
inefficient economy, with a large and backward
agricultural
sector, has become one of the most dynamic in Western
Europe,
which often produces the continent's highest growth rates.
This
transformation brought with it tremendous changes in where
Spaniards lived, in how they earned their livelihoods, and
in
their standard of living. It also came to mean that Spain,
long
sealed off from the social changes of Western Europe by a
reactionary authoritarian regime, gradually opened up and,
in the
course of a single generation, adopted the living habits
and the
attitudes of its more advanced neighbors. Most striking of
all
were two political events. The first, the fashioning of a
working
democracy that most Spaniards supported, was unique in the
country's history. Perhaps equally pathbreaking was the
attainment of varying degrees of autonomy by the country's
regions, in a radical departure from a centuries-old
tradition of
centralized control from Madrid.
Only since the early 1960s have the doctrines of
economic
liberalism been widely practiced in Spain. Traditional
policy was
based on high tariffs, protectionism, and a striving for
economic
self-sufficiency, practices which resulted in a backward
Spanish
economy in 1960. At that time, agriculture was still very
important because slightly under half of the population
earned
its living working on farms. The manufacturing sector
consisted
mainly of small, privately owned firms, using outmoded
methods of
production, or of large, inefficient, state-run
enterprises,
specializing in heavy industry. Only the Basque Country
(Spanish,
Pais Vasco; Basque, Euskadi) and Catalonia (Spanish,
Cataluna;
Catalan, Catalunya) had experienced an industrial
revolution, but
both the former's heavy industry and the latter's textile
production were dependent on the domestic market for sales
and on
protection from foreign competition.
Spanish industry had profited hugely from World War I,
but,
once peace returned, it was unable to meet the demands of
free
trade. The government had resorted to traditional
protectionism
to keep the country's businesses running. The Civil War of
1936-
39 so devastated the economy that the living standards of
the
mid-1930s were not matched again until the early 1950s.
The
political regime established by the war's victor,
Francisco
Franco y Bahamonde, showed its essentially traditional
character
by embracing the principle of national economic
self-sufficiency
and by codifying it into the doctrine of autarchy.
Stringent
import controls and extensive state participation in the
industrial sector, through large state-owned and
state-operated
enterprises, became characteristic features of the
economy.
Protectionism preserved inefficient businesses, and state
controls prevented agricultural innovation or made it
pointless.
Labor was rigidly controlled, but job security was
provided in
return.
While Western Europe's economies experienced a
miraculous
rebirth in the 1950s, Spain's economy remained dormant.
Lack of
growth eventually forced the Franco regime to countenance
introduction of liberal economic policies in the late
1950s. The
so-called Stabilization Plan of 1959 did away with many
import
restrictions; imposed temporary wage freezes; devalued the
nation's currency, the peseta (for value of the
peseta--see Glossary);
tied Spain's financial and banking operations
more
closely to those of the rest of Europe; and encouraged
foreign
investment. After a painful start, the economy took off in
the
early 1960s, and, during the next decade, it grew at an
astonishing pace. The Spanish gross national product
(GNP--see Glossary)
expanded at a rate twice that of the rest of
Western
Europe. Production per worker doubled, while wages
tripled.
Exports grew by 12 percent a year, and imports increased
by 17
percent annually. Between 1960 and 1975, agriculture's
share of
the economically active population fell by almost half,
while the
manufacturing and service sectors' shares each rose by
nearly a
third. Some of this growth was caused by tourism, which
brought
tens of millions of Europeans to Spain each year, and by
the
remittances of Spaniards working abroad. Without the
liberalization of the economy, however, the overall gains
would
not have been possible. Liberalization forced the economy
to be
more market-oriented, and it exposed Spanish businesses to
foreign competition.
The first and the second oil crises of the 1970s ended
this
extraordinary boom. An excessive dependence on foreign
oil,
insufficient long-term investments, structural defects,
and
spiraling wage costs made Spain unusually susceptible to
the
effects of the worldwide economic slump of the late 1970s
and the
early 1980s. Spain's economy languished until the second
half of
the 1980s, and during this time the country was afflicted
by an
unemployment rate that often exceeded 20 percent, higher
than
that of any other major West European country.
The sensational victory of the Spanish Socialist
Workers'
Party (Partido Socialista Obrero Espanol--PSOE) in the
national
election of 1982 gave it an absolute majority in Spain's
Parliament, the Cortes, and allowed it to introduce
further
liberal economic measures that previous weak governments
could
not consider. The Socialist government, headed by the
party
leader and prime minister, Felipe Gonzalez Marquez, opted
for
orthodox monetary and fiscal policies, for wage austerity,
and
for the scaling down of wasteful state enterprises. The
government's policies began to bear fruit in the second
half of
the decade, when the economy once again had the fastest
growth
rates in Western Europe. Many large manufacturing
companies and
financial institutions had record-breaking profits, and
inflation
was kept under control.
One reason for the government's interest in reforming
the
economy was Spain's admission to the European Community
(EC) in
1986. If the country were to benefit from EC membership,
it would
have to be able to meet unrestricted foreign competition.
At the
end of 1992, when a single EC market was to come into
being,
virtually all restrictions shielding Spain's economy
against
competition from other members of the organization would
end.
This change meant that Spanish firms had to be strong
enough to
thrive in a more rigorous commercial climate. In mid-1989
the
peseta was believed to be sufficiently healthy for the
country to
join the European Monetary System (EMS), which tied the
peseta to
the other EC currencies. The country's financial
institutions
were undergoing a long strengthening process of
reorganization
and consolidation. Portions of the agricultural sector had
also
been modernized, and, given the advantage of Spain's
Mediterranean climate, they were well poised to hold their
own
with the commercialized farming of other EC countries. In
short,
in thirty years Spain's economy had undergone a profound
transformation and had joined the European mainstream.
The economic boom of the 1960s and the early 1970s had
social
effects that transformed Spain in a single generation.
First,
there was a great movement of population from the
countryside to
those urban areas that offered employment, mainly Madrid,
Barcelona, and centers in the Basque Country. A rapid
mechanization of agriculture (the number of tractors in
Spain
increased sixfold during the boom) made many agricultural
workers
redundant. The need for work and the desire for the better
living
standards offered in urban centers, spurred about five
million
Spaniards to leave the countryside during the 1960s and
early the
1970s. More than one million went to other countries of
Western
Europe. The extent of migration was such that some areas
in
Extremadura and in the high Castilian plateau appeared
nearly
depopulated by the mid-1970s.
Urbanization in the 1960s and the 1970s caused cities
to grow
at an annual rate of 2.4 percent, and as early as 1970
migrants
accounted for about 26 percent of the population of Madrid
and
for 23 percent of that of Barcelona. After the mid-1970s,
however, this mass migration slowed down appreciably, and
some of
the largest urban areas even registered a slight decrease
in
population in the 1980s.
Another result of the economic transformation was a
dramatic
rise in living standards. In the 1940s and the 1950s, many
Spaniards were extremely poor, so much so that, for
example,
cigarettes could be bought singly. By the late 1980s, the
country's per capita income amounted to more than US$8,000
annually, somewhat lower than the West European average,
but high
enough for Spanish consumption patterns to resemble those
of
other EC countries. In 1960 there were 5 passenger cars
per 1,000
inhabitants; in 1985, there were 240. In the same period,
the
number of television sets showed a similar increase, and
the
number of telephones per capita increased sixfold. Access
to
medical care was much better, and the infant mortality
rate had
decreased so greatly that it was lower than the EC
average. In
addition, many more Spaniards received higher education.
However, the economic boom was not an unmixed blessing.
Housing in many urban regions was often scarce, expensive,
and of
poor quality. Although many new dwellings were built, the
results
were frequently unappealing, and there were unhealthy
tracts of
cramped apartment buildings with few amenities. City
transportation systems never caught up with the influx of
people,
and the road network could not accommodate the explosion
in car
ownership made possible by increased incomes. An already
inadequate social welfare system was also swamped by the
waves of
rural immigrants, often ill-prepared for life in an urban
environment. Widespread unemployment among the young,
usually
estimated at about 40 percent in the late 1980s, caused
hardship.
Material need, coupled with a way of life remote from the
habits
and the restrictions of the rural villages from which most
migrants came, often resulted in an upsurge of urban
crime. The
boom also had not touched all sections of the country.
Some
areas, for example, had twice the per capita income of
others.
The material transformation of Spain was accompanied by
a
social transformation. The Roman Catholic Church lost, in
a
single generation, its role of social arbiter and monitor.
Traditionally one of the most rigid and doctrinaire
churches in
Western Europe, the Spanish church had enjoyed a
privileged role
under the Franco regime. Although significant elements of
the
church had fought against oppressive aspects of the regime
and
for democracy, especially after the Second Vatican Council
(1962-
65), the church as a whole had been comfortable with the
regime.
The church supervised the education system, supported the
bans on
divorce and abortion, and in general counseled submission
to
political authorities.
This close relationship ended after the death of Franco
in
1975. The 1978 Constitution separates church and state,
and it
deprives Roman Catholicism of the status of official
religion.
Subsequent legislation brought education under secular
control,
liberalized press laws, permitted pornography; and, in the
first
half of the 1980s, both divorce and abortion became legal.
More
significant than these formal changes was the
secularization of
the Spanish people. Church attendance dropped
significantly, and
by the early 1980s only about 30 percent of Spaniards
viewed
themselves as practicing Roman Catholics, compared with 80
percent in the mid-1960s. Moreover, about 45 percent of
Spaniards
declared themselves indifferent, or even hostile, to
religion.
This attitude was reflected in the precipitous drop in the
number
of Spaniards choosing religious vocations, and it was
evidence of
the loss of religion's central place in many people's
lives.
Another indication of the lessening importance of
religion
was the absence of any successful nationwide religious
political
party. Although there were impassioned debates about the
legalization of divorce and about the proper role of the
Roman
Catholic Church in the national education system in the
early
1980s, religion was no longer the highly divisive element
it had
so often been in Spanish politics, and the Roman Catholic
Church
refrained from endorsing political parties before
elections. In
contrast to the Second Republic (1931-36), when
anticlericalism
was a powerful force, many church-going members of leftist
parties in the post-Franco era saw no contradiction
between their
political affiliations and regular church attendance.
Some secular creeds also lost the place they had once
filled
in public life. The anarchist movement that had been so
important
for most of the century up to the end of the Civil War was
nearly
extinct by the end of Franco's rule. Other left-wing
movements
that survived the years of Francoist oppression either
adapted to
the new economic and social circumstances or were
marginalized.
Old sets of political beliefs faded away in new economic
and
social conditions.
Social attitudes changed, too. Migration separated many
people from old ways of thought. Moreover, the enormous
influx of
foreign tourists brought in new social and political
attitudes,
as did the movement of large numbers of Spanish workers
back and
forth between their country and the rest of Western
Europe.
Migration broke down the patron-client relationship that
had been
characteristic of Spaniards' relationships with the
government.
Using informal personal networks and petitioning the
well-placed
to obtain desired government services became, within the
space of
a few decades, much less common. Persistent, but not
wholly
effective, reforms of the civil service also aimed at
increasing
the impartiality of public institutions.
Personal relations changed as well. The position of
women
improved as the legalization of divorce and birth control
gave
women more freedom than they had traditionally enjoyed.
Although
divorce was still not common in Spain in the 1980s,
families had
become smaller. The extended family continued to be more
important in Spain than it was in Northern Europe, but it
had
lost much of its earlier significance. Legal reforms made
women
more equal before the law. The expanding economy of the
1960s and
the late 1980s employed ever more women, although at a
rate
considerably below that in Northern Europe.
The social and the economic changes that occurred
during the
1960s and the early 1970s convinced segments of the Franco
regime
that autocratic rule was no longer suitable for Spain and
that a
growing opposition could no longer be contained by
traditional
means. The death of Franco made change both imperative and
possible. There was no one who could replace him. (His
most
likely successor had been assassinated in 1973.) Franco's
absence
allowed long-submerged forces to engage in open political
activity. Over the course of the next three years, a new
political order was put in place. A system of
parliamentary
democracy, rooted in a widely accepted modern
constitution, was
established. For the first time in Spanish history, a
constitution was framed not by segments of society able to
impose
their will but by representatives of all significant
groups, and
it was approved in a referendum by the people as a whole.
Given the difficulties this process entailed, Spain was
fortunate in several regards. In addition to a population
ready
for peaceful change, there was political leadership able
to bring
it about. A skilled Francoist bureaucrat, Adolfo Suarez
Gonzalez,
guided the governmental apparatus of the Franco regime in
disassembling itself and in participating peacefully in
its own
extinction. Another favorable circumstance was that the
king,
Juan Carlos de Borbon, chosen and educated by Franco to
maintain
the regime, worked instead for a constitutional monarchy
in a
democratic state. The king's role as commander in chief of
the
armed forces and his good personal relations with the
military
served to keep the military on the sidelines during the
several
years of intense political debate about how Spain was to
be
governed. Yet another stroke of good fortune was that
Spain's
political leadership had learned from the terrible
bloodletting
of the Civil War that ideological intransigence precluded
meaningful political discourse among opposing groups. The
poisonous rancors of the Second Republic, Spain's last
attempt at
democratic government, were avoided, and the political
elite that
emerged during the 1970s permitted each significant sector
of
society a share in the final political solution. Suarez's
legalization in April 1977 of the Communist Party of Spain
(Partido Comunista de Espana--PCE), despite much
conservative
opposition, was the most striking example of this
openness.
The first free elections in more than forty years took
place
in June 1977, and they put Suarez's party, the Union of
the
Democratic Center (Union de Centro Democratico--UCD) in
power.
The UCD also won the next elections in 1979, but it
disintegrated
almost completely in the elections of 1982. The UCD, a
coalition
of moderates of varying stripes, had never coalesced into
a
genuine party. It had, however, been cohesive enough to be
the
governing party during much of an extraordinary transition
from
autocratic rule to democracy, and it had withstood serious
threats from a violent right and left.
The UCD's successor as a governing party was Spain's
socialist party, the PSOE, under the leadership of Felipe
Gonzalez Marquez, a charismatic young politician. Gonzalez
had
successfully wrested control of the party away from the
aging
leadership that had directed it from exile during the
dictatorship, and he was able to modernize it, stripping
away an
encrustation of Marxist doctrine. Gonzalez and his
followers had
close ties to the West German Social Democrats and they
had
learned from their example how to form and to direct a
dynamic
and pragmatic political organization. The PSOE's victory
at the
polls in 1982 proved the strength of Spain's new democracy
in
that political power passed peacefully to a party that had
been
in illegal opposition during all of Franco's rule.
Once in office, Gonzalez and the PSOE surprised many by
initiating an economic program that many regarded as
free-market
and that seemed to benefit the prosperous rather than
working
people. The government argued that only prosperity--not
poverty--
could be shared, and it aimed at an expansion of the
economy
rather than at the creation of government social welfare
agencies, however much they were needed. Many of the large
and
unprofitable state firms were scaled down. The Socialist
government also reversed its stand on North Atlantic
Treaty
Organization (NATO) membership, and it successfully urged
that
the voters support Spain's remaining in the alliance in a
referendum in early 1986. One reason the PSOE reversed its
position was that it came to see that NATO membership
could
contribute to the democratization of Spain's armed forces.
The
government also worked toward this goal by modernizing the
military, by reducing its size, by reforming its promotion
procedures, and by retiring many of its older officers.
Nevertheless, the government retained part of its early
position
on defense by insisting that the United States close some
of its
military bases in Spain and by placing some limits on
Spain's
participation in the alliance.
The governing PSOE was faithful to its origins, in that
it
somewhat reformed the education system, and it increased
access
to schooling for all. There were improvements in the
country's
backward social welfare system as well. Critics charged,
however,
that the Socialist government paid insufficient attention
to the
more immediate needs of ordinary Spaniards. In the second
half of
the 1980s, even the PSOE's own labor union, the General
Union of
Workers (Union General de Trabajadores--UGT), bitterly
contested
the government's economic policies. In December 1988, the
UGT and
the communist-controlled union, the Workers' Commissions
(Comisiones Obreras--CCOO), mounted a highly successful,
nationwide general strike to emphasize their common
contention
that the government's economic and social policies hurt
wage-
earners. Critics within the labor movement were also
incensed at
the tight control Gonzalez and his followers had over the
PSOE,
which effectively eliminated any chance of deposing them.
As the 1980s drew to an end, the PSOE, despite a steady
erosion of electoral support in national elections,
continued to
be Spain's most powerful political party, by far. This
continuing
preeminence was confirmed by the national elections held
on
October 29, 1989. Gonzalez had called for the elections
before
their originally scheduled date of June 1990, because the
party
leadership believed that the belt-tightening measures
needed to
dampen inflation and to cool an over-heated economy could
only
hurt the party's election chances. They thought it
opportune to
hold the elections before painful policies were imposed.
In
addition, the PSOE was encouraged by its success in the
elections
for the European Parliament in June 1989. The Socialists
based
their campaign on the premise that Spain needed the
continuity of
another four years of their rule in order to meet the
challenges
posed by the country's projected full participation in the
EC's
single market at the end of 1992.
In what was generally regarded as a lackluster contest,
the
opposition countered by pointing to the poor state of
public
services and to the poor living conditions of many working
people; by suggesting possible reforms of the terms of
service
for military conscripts; and by decrying the Socialists'
arrogance, abuse of power, and cronyism after seven years
in
office. An important bone of contention was the
government's
alleged manipulation of television news to benefit the
PSOE's
cause, a serious issue in a country where newspaper
readership
was low, compared with the rest of Western Europe, and
where most
people got their news from television.
The PSOE was expected to suffer some losses, but
probably to
retain its absolute majority in the Congress of Deputies
(the
lower-chamber of the Cortes). At first it appeared to have
held
its majority, but a rerun in late March 1990 in one voting
district because of irregularities reduced the number of
its
members in the Congress of Deputies to 175, constituting
exactly
half that body, an appreciable drop from the 184 seats the
PSOE
had controlled after the 1986 national election. The most
striking gains were made by the PCE-dominated coalition of
leftist parties, the United Left (Izquierda Unida--IU),
which,
under the leadership of Julio Anguita, increased the
number of
its seats in the Congress of Deputies from seven to
seventeen.
The moderately right-wing People's Party (Partido
Popular--PP),
which until January 1989 bore the name Popular Alliance
(Alianza
Popular--AP) gained 2 seats for a total of 107--an
excellent
showing, considering that the group had a new leader, Jose
Maria
Aznar, because its long-time head, Manuel Fraga Iribarne,
had
stepped down just weeks before the election. One reason
there was
still no effective party on the right, a decade after the
promulgation of the Constitution, was that Fraga had never
been
able to shake off his Francoist past in the eyes of many
voters.
A new, young, and effective leader of the PP could
conceivably
change this situation in the 1990s.
Another obstacle to the PP's political dominance was
the
existence of several moderately conservative regional
parties
that received support that the PP otherwise might have
claimed.
The largest of these parties, Convergence and Union
(Convergència
i Unio--CiU), was the ruling political force in Catalonia
and won
18 seats in the Chamber of Deputies, a result identical to
that
of 1986. Second in importance was the venerable Basque
Nationalist Party (Partido Nacionalists Vasco--PNV), which
won
five seats, one less than in 1986. As of early 1990, the
PP had
been unable to come to an accommodation with the
conservative
nationalist movements these parties represented.
Suarez's new party, the Democratic and Social Center
(Centro
Democratico y Social--CDS), stumbled badly, losing a
quarter of
its seats for a total of fourteen. His party was believed
to have
been hurt by its collaboration with the PP in the previous
June's
European Parliament elections, a move seen by voters as
yet
another indication that Suarez still had not formed a
party with
a distinct program.
In addition to the establishment of a democratic system
of
government, the other historic achievement of post-Franco
Spain
was a partial devolution of political power to the
regional level
through the formation of seventeen autonomous communities.
This
development was nearly as significant as the first, for it
broke
with the tradition of a highly centralized government in
Madrid
that had been a constant in Spanish history since the late
Middle
Ages. Despite the weight of this tradition, centrifugal
forces
had persisted. Various peoples within Spain remembered
their
former freedoms, kept their languages and traditions
alive, and
maintained some historical rights that distinguished them
from
the Castilian central government. Most notably conscious
of their
separate pasts were the Basques and the Catalans, both of
which
groups had also been affected by nationalist movements
elsewhere
in nineteenth-century Europe. During the Second Republic,
both
peoples had made some progress toward self-government, but
their
gains were extinguished after Franco's victory, and they
were
persecuted during his rule. Use of their languages in
public was
prohibited, leading nationalist figures were jailed or
were
forced into exile, and a watchful campaign to root out any
signs
of regional nationalism was put in place.
During the period of political transition after
Franco's
death, regional nationalism came into the open, most
strongly in
the Basque Country and in Catalonia, but also in Galicia,
Navarre
(Spanish, Navarra), Valencia, and other regions. Regional
politicians, aware that their support was needed, were
able to
drive hard bargains with politicians in Madrid and
realized some
of their aims. The 1978 Constitution extends the right of
autonomy to the regions of Spain. Within several years of
its
adoption, the Basques, the Catalans, the Galicians, the
Andalusians, and the Navarrese had attained a degree of
regional
autonomy. Publications in Catalan, Galician, Basque and
other
languages became commonplace; these languages were taught
in
schools at government expense, and they were also used in
radio
and television broadcasts. Dozens of regional political
parties
of varied leanings sprang up to participate in elections
for
seats in the parliaments of the newly established
autonomous
communities.
Many conservatives regarded this blossoming of
regionalism as
an insidious attack on the Spanish state. Portions of the
military resolved to fight decentralization at all costs,
using
force if necessary. Elements of the Basque nationalist
movement
were also dissatisfied with the constitutional provisions
for
regional autonomy. In contrast to the ultraright, however,
they
regarded the provisions as too restrictive. They therefore
decided to continue the armed struggle for an independent
Basque
state that they had begun in the last years of the Franco
regime.
They reasoned that a campaign of systematic attacks on the
security forces would cause the military to retaliate
against the
new democratic order and, perhaps, to destroy it.
The strategy of the Basque terrorist organization,
Basque
Fatherland and Freedom (Euskadi Ta Askatasuna--ETA),
nearly
succeeded. During the late 1970s and the 1980s, the ETA
assassinated hundreds, many of whom were policemen or
military
men. These killings were a key factor behind a number of
planned
military coups, nearly all of which were aborted. A
large-scale
coup did occur in February 1981, during which the Cortes
was
briefly occupied by some military men; however, the
courageous
and expeditious intervention of King Juan Carlos, the
commander
in chief of Spain's military forces, on the side of the
new
democratic order, ended the dangerous incident.
Many observers contend, however, that the February 1981
coup
did cause a slowing of the movement toward regional
autonomy. In
the next two years, the remainder of Spain's regions
became
autonomous communities, but with a less extensive degree
of
independence than that argued for by many regional
politicians
during constitutional negotiations. The Organic Law on the
Harmonization of the Autonomy Process (Ley Organica de
Armonizacion del Proceso Autonomico--LOAPA), passed in the
summer
of 1981, brought the process of devolution under tighter
control.
In subsequent years, there were gains in political power
at the
regional level, but the goals of self-government set in
the late
1970s were only slowly being realized.
Separatist terrorism was still a problem in Spain at
the end
of the 1980s, but it was no longer the potentially lethal
issue
for Spanish democracy that it had been in the late 1970s.
The ETA
continued to kill, but at a greatly reduced rate.
Increased
Basque political independence and the establishment of an
indigenous police force in the Basque Country undercut
much of
the popular support the ETA had enjoyed in the last years
of the
Franco era and in the first years of the democratic
transition.
Occasional terrorist outrages that claimed the lives of
ordinary
citizens also eroded local support. Moreover, police
successes in
capturing or killing many ETA leaders took their toll on
the
organization, as did belated international support in
fighting
terrorism, particularly that provided by French
authorities. A
policy of granting pardons to members of the ETA not
linked to
acts of violence was also effective.
Violence from the right also declined. Ultrarightist
elements
in the armed forces were dismissed, or they retired, and
the
military as a whole had come to accept the new democracy.
The
Spanish people's overwhelming support for democracy and
for the
election successes of the PSOE also undercut any tendency
of the
military to stage a coup. Military interventions in
politics had
traditionally been based on the notion that the armed
forces were
acting on the behalf of, or at the behest of, the Spanish
people,
and that the military were therefore realizing the true
will of
Spain. The legitimacy conferred on the new political
system by
nearly all segments of society made such reasoning
impossible.
However reduced violence had become, it was still
troubling.
In November 1989, two Basques elected to the Chamber of
Deputies
were shot in a restaurant in Madrid. One of the deputies
died;
the other was seriously wounded. Police believed that
ultrarightist killers had attacked the two men, both of
whom had
ties to the ETA. The action provoked extensive public
demonstrations and some street violence.
Whether or not this dark side of regional politics
would
continue to be significant through the 1990s was
uncertain. It
appeared likely, however, that regionalism would play an
even
greater role in the 1990s than it had since the transition
to
democracy. Much political energy would be needed to
arrange a
mutually satisfactory relationship between the Spanish
state and
its constituent nationalities. The degree to which the
autonomous
communities should gain full autonomy, or even
independence, was
likely to be much debated; however, the wrangling,
fruitful or
futile, could be done peacefully, within the context of
Spain's
new democracy.
April 9, 1990
Eric Solsten
Data as of December 1988
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